Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.097013 0.115065 0.135282 0.159565 0.187901 0.219884 0.258680
2025-02-09 0.068886 0.091996 0.120813 0.159227 0.208910 0.270804 0.353539
2025-02-16 0.053461 0.078444 0.112352 0.161373 0.230001 0.322160 0.454698
2025-02-23 0.044572 0.070741 0.108838 0.167709 0.255607 0.381006 0.572199
2025-03-02 0.035493 0.060476 0.099214 0.162746 0.263169 0.414256 0.656673
2025-03-09 0.029809 0.054124 0.094002 0.162941 0.277504 0.458042 0.760823
2025-03-16 0.024943 0.048063 0.088019 0.160539 0.286734 0.494212 0.856462
2025-03-23 0.022058 0.044863 0.086183 0.164538 0.306617 0.549180 0.988049
2025-03-30 0.018952 0.040629 0.081751 0.163097 0.316544 0.588114 1.096397
2025-04-06 0.016107 0.036343 0.076474 0.159162 0.321161 0.617875 1.191385
2025-04-13 0.013602 0.032264 0.070906 0.153728 0.322013 0.640546 1.275441
2025-04-20 0.012295 0.030510 0.069721 0.156782 0.339523 0.695665 1.425084
2025-04-27 0.011017 0.028622 0.068045 0.158754 0.355476 0.750236 1.580982
2025-05-04 0.009786 0.026616 0.065805 0.159208 0.368388 0.800344 1.733770
2025-05-11 0.008846 0.025135 0.064507 0.161534 0.385532 0.860727 1.913441
2025-05-18 0.008262 0.024452 0.064959 0.167918 0.412345 0.943855 2.148401
2025-05-25 0.007128 0.022067 0.060890 0.162959 0.412768 0.970763 2.266855
2025-06-01 0.006403 0.020664 0.059049 0.163156 0.425163 1.024932 2.449636
2025-06-08 0.005654 0.019034 0.056345 0.160752 0.430966 1.064843 2.604551
2025-06-15 0.005253 0.018368 0.056122 0.164756 0.452991 1.143981 2.855883
2025-06-22 0.004695 0.017089 0.053984 0.163313 0.461056 1.191218 3.037800
2025-06-29 0.004122 0.015636 0.051100 0.159373 0.462133 1.221792 3.183209
2025-07-06 0.003578 0.014152 0.047864 0.153933 0.458495 1.240397 3.301456